

There is a contradiction between extensive agricultural development and sustainable economic development in many countries, so the innovation of agricultural development model has become the mainstream. Agricultural logistics ecosphere (ALE) is a typical model of “integration of primary, secondary and tertiary industries”, which is an important starting point of agricultural production, supply and sales under the background of digital economy. Based on the framework analysis of influencing factors of ALE in this research team, a dynamic simulation model of ALE collaborative system was constructed. Based on the analysis of the causal loop of variables, the research context of sensitivity analysis of three order parameters (information technology level, professional level of service providers and Coefficient agriculture logistics investment) on the demand volume for agricultural products, ecosphere integration ability and ecosphere value was determined. The simulation model running results show that: (1) Due to the influence of causality between variables, the three factor coefficients have strong or weak influence on the observed variables at different stages of 0.2-0.5 and 0.5-0.8; (2) The influence of a single factor change on the observed variables may be delayed, and it is difficult to produce a significant impact in a short time. The results suggest that policy makers should understand the differences in ALE in different development stages, comprehensively consider the proportion of investment in each factor, and finally seek a balance between agricultural production development and economic sustainability. By exploring the relationship between the variables of the agricultural logistics ecosphere, we can help agricultural logistics corporate identity identify the key factors in the collaborative process of each subject, and provide suggestions for the green and sustainable development of agriculture.