Abstract

The continued acceleration of the power of technological capacity, its increasing complexity and synergies and many new technologies from artificial intelligence to synthetic biology, and their future availability to the public makes it increasingly difficult to keep track of change and anticipate future terrorist use of technologies. Such future technological capacities will also give new abilities to detect and prevent terrorist actives. Collective intelligence systems are one method to keep track and anticipate such changes. There are a range of definitions for “collective intelligence” and applications. This paper

This paper is drawn in part from articles by the author in Futura 4/2009, World Future Review (Fall 2013), and Technological Forecasting & Social Change (2013) http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.10.010.

will discuss some early approaches to creating collective intelligence, what specifically is needed today, and an approach to constructing a collective intelligence system developed by The Millennium Project called the Global Futures Intelligence System. A new deterrence triad is offered to address lone wolf terrorism that could provide structure for a collective intelligence system for NATO and or its Members.