As a guest user you are not logged in or recognized by your IP address. You have
access to the Front Matter, Abstracts, Author Index, Subject Index and the full
text of Open Access publications.
This chapter presents a mixed initiative threat assessment model combining evidential and abductive reasoning. The evidential reasoning produces pro and contra arguments for the each threat component (intent, opportunity, and capability) while considering uncertain heterogeneous (soft and hard) transient information as pieces of alternative stories (hypotheses) based on “what might happen.” The belief-based abductive reasoning computes probabilities of these stories by combining beliefs in all the arguments expressed within different uncertainty frameworks (probability, possibility, beliefs). Beliefs in the arguments are fused and used for selecting decisions on either alerting an analyst on potential or imminent threat, or as a basis for continuing observations for making a better decision. The fusion process is complicated by different models used for representing uncertainty characterizing soft and hard data. The chapter addresses this problem by utilizing a unified framework of credibility representation within the Transferable Belief Model. The results of a case study designed to illustrate the described model are also presented.
This website uses cookies
We use cookies to provide you with the best possible experience. They also allow us to analyze user behavior in order to constantly improve the website for you. Info about the privacy policy of IOS Press.
This website uses cookies
We use cookies to provide you with the best possible experience. They also allow us to analyze user behavior in order to constantly improve the website for you. Info about the privacy policy of IOS Press.