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This chapter will first look at the historical legacy of military confrontations in the Black Sea area, primarily as perceived by Russia, and on the emerging new profile of the Black Sea Fleet. It will then deal briefly with the particular case of Moldova, where Russia has only limited strategic interests, and with the role of Russian bases in the protracted confrontation between Armenia and Azerbaijan. Turning then to Georgia, this analysis will examine Russia's record of, and capabilities for applying military instruments as means of manipulating violent conflicts. Finally, it will take a measure of Russia's power potential in the North Caucasus and outline possible security developments in the near future.
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