This longitudinal, non-randomized, retrospective study uses the Kaplan-Meier estimates method and the Cox Proportional Hazard model to assess the risk of home support recipients’ transitioning to a higher level of care after being hospitalized. The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis revealed that 50% of home support recipients were expected to move on to a higher level of care by day 1,374. The Cox Proportional Hazard model indicated that the risk of transitioning to a higher level of care increases by about 2% as a client ages by one year, and by about 10% if there were no emergency room visits in the last 12 months. Also, the risk will decrease by about 13% if an individual is getting more than one hour of home support service per visit on average, compared to those who are receiving less than one hour of home support services per visit. These results will help project long term home support demand and resource planning for home support and the health care system.