Inter-city railways facilitate the accumulation of labor and capital in the site areas through high-speed, large-capacity transportation, accelerating the industrialization and urbanization in these areas. In this paper, the logit model is used to calculate the sharing rate of various modes of transportation in the intercity transportation channel, and the utility function model is established. The parameters are determined by linear regression method combined with questionnaire data. Then the model was applied to the inter-city channel of Changsha, Zhuzhou and Xiangtan for empirical analysis. It is calculated that the passenger transfer rate of the intercity railway in this channel is 30.89% (low plan) and 32.86% (high plan) in 2018; the passenger transfer rate in 2020 is 37.21% (low plan) and 39.58% (high plan). The passenger traffic volume of the Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan inter-city railway in 2018 and 2020 is forecasted and analyzed. The sensitivity analysis of the sharing rate and passenger flow growth is based on the fare, departure interval, travel time and connection time. It provides a theoretical basis for the future adjustment of the Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan inter-city railway.
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